MS
MATRIX SERVICE CO (MTRX)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $211.9M, up 28% YoY and above S&P Global consensus of $206.7M*; GAAP EPS was -$0.13 while adjusted EPS was -$0.01 vs consensus +$0.02* (top-line beat, EPS miss). Management reaffirmed FY26 revenue guidance of $875–$925M and highlighted best quarterly gross margin in 2+ years .
- Book-to-bill was 0.9x; backlog ended at $1.2B after removing $197M from two projects for client-driven commercial changes (no FY26 impact). >90% of FY26 revenue (at guidance midpoint) is now booked, increasing visibility .
- Segment performance: Storage & Terminal Solutions revenue +40% YoY to $109.5M; Utility & Power Infrastructure revenue +33% to $74.5M with gross margin improving to 9.1% (from 2.3%); Process & Industrial Facilities revenue $27.9M, margin 5.1% due to mix .
- Strategic posture: pipeline of $6.7B with mid-sized awards near term and anticipated re-acceleration in large multi-year projects in late FY26/FY27; discipline on risk/reward and improved cost structure lowered breakeven revenue to $210–$215M per quarter (from ~$225M) .
- Potential stock catalysts: sustained margin improvement and award cadence in Storage/Utility segments, execution of DRP balance-of-plant award, and confirmation of larger multi-year wins into late FY26/ FY27 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin reached 6.7%, the best in over two years, reflecting mix and execution discipline; adjusted EBITDA positive at $2.5M .
- Utility & Power Infrastructure delivered 9.1% gross margin (from 2.3% YoY) on higher volume and better overhead absorption .
- Opportunity pipeline of $6.7B and reaffirmed FY26 revenue guidance ($875–$925M) support continued growth visibility .
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What Went Wrong
- EPS missed S&P Global consensus as adjusted EPS was -$0.01 vs +$0.02*, and adjusted EBITDA ($2.5M) trailed consensus ($4.5M)* .
- Backlog declined to $1.2B after removing $197M (client strategy change and rescinded award on unacceptable terms), though management emphasized no FY26 impact .
- Process & Industrial Facilities margins fell to 5.1% (from 6.4% YoY) on unfavorable mix and overhead under-recovery .
Financial Results
Overall performance (oldest → newest):
Q1 FY2026 actual vs S&P Global consensus:
Segment breakdown:
KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
No formal guidance provided on margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or dividends beyond commentary above .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We begin fiscal 2026 with strong execution, resulting in double-digit revenue growth and our highest quarterly gross margin in over two years… we are reiterating our full-year revenue guidance of $875–$925 million” .
- “Our total opportunity pipeline currently sits at $6.7 billion… investments in LNG, NGLs, ammonia, and power infrastructure support significant project opportunities” .
- “We removed approximately $197 million from backlog… these removals do not reflect a reduction in demand… and do not impact our Q1 results or full-year guidance” .
- “Adjusted EPS was nearly break-even at a loss of $0.01… consistent with our expectation to achieve break-even on a GAAP basis at quarterly revenue of $210–$215 million” .
- “Utility and Power Infrastructure… gross margin increased to 9.1% compared to 2.3%… due to strong execution and overhead recovery” .
Q&A Highlights
- Backlog removals context: CEO emphasized decisions were not competitive losses; one project rebid due to owner execution strategy; the other rescinded after client attempted to increase contractor risk without compensation .
- Project cadence: Expect many mid-sized 12–18 month projects to bridge until larger projects accelerate late FY26/FY27 .
- Cost structure: Restructuring lowered quarterly break-even to $210–$215M (from ~$225M) and reduced revenue required for full OH/SG&A leverage to ~$250M .
- Gas power projects: Company has legacy combined-cycle capabilities and sees expanding opportunities tied to reliability, LNG peak shaving, and backup fueling as data centers and manufacturing increase load .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY2026 vs consensus (S&P Global): Revenue $206.66M* vs actual $211.88M (beat); Primary EPS +$0.02* vs adjusted EPS -$0.01 (miss); EBITDA $4.50M* vs adjusted EBITDA $2.5M (miss). Coverage remains thin (2 estimates for EPS and revenue)*. Company reaffirmed FY26 revenue guidance .
- Q4 FY2025 vs consensus: Revenue $232.25M* vs $216.38M (miss); Primary EPS +$0.015* vs adjusted EPS -$0.28 (miss) .
- Q3 FY2025 vs consensus: Revenue $215.06M* vs $200.16M (miss); Primary EPS -$0.05* vs GAAP EPS -$0.12 (miss) .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue outperformed consensus and margins rebounded; continued improvement hinges on execution and mix in Storage and Utility segments (watch gross margin trajectory) .
- Reaffirmed FY26 revenue guidance with >90% of midpoint booked reduces downside risk to the topline; monitor award cadence to sustain/expand backlog after the $197M removals .
- Cost actions have structurally lowered the break-even to $210–$215M/quarter and improved operating leverage potential at ~$250M revenue pace (OH/SG&A full recovery) .
- Utility & Power Infrastructure margin expansion to 9.1% is a bright spot; sustained double-digit margins here would be a positive re-rating catalyst .
- Project pipeline ($6.7B) and growing power demand (data centers/backup fuel/LNG peak shaving) support mid-term growth; near-term upside tied to mid-sized project flow and DRP execution .
- Risk discipline (backlog curation) is positive for returns; near-term headline risk if large-project timing slips—watch late FY26/FY27 award conversions .
- For trading: focus on beats/misses vs consensus and gross margin trends; for medium term, track incremental awards, book-to-bill, and confirmation of larger multi-year wins.
Appendix: Additional Items for Q1 FY2026
- Delaware River Partners award: balance-of-plant work supporting a 100,000 m³ dual-service full containment tank (ammonia/LPG) at Repauno; taken into Q1 backlog .
- Liquidity remained strong at $248.9M with no debt; cash used in operations tied to progress on prepaid-position projects .
Notes: Company figures and commentary from press release/8‑K and earnings call . Consensus estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.